Mitch McConnell is right. Senate Republicans need candidates

Updated on August 21, 2022 09:02 AM by Ava Sara

Politicians flaunt their accomplishments.

We're accustomed to seeing politicians flaunt their accomplishments (see former President Donald Trump). It is noteworthy when politicians acknowledge that the political winds may not favor them. Mitch McConnell, the leader of the Senate's Republican party, stated this week that Republicans had a better chance of retaking the House than the Senate. Candidate quality, he said, "has a lot to do with [it]." We start our summary of the news from the last week with McConnell's remarks.

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Unpopular candidates could cost GOP the Senate.

When 2022 began, Democrats' Senate chances weren't good. They weren't as bad off as in the House but were underdogs. Averaging estimates and betting odds, Democrats are marginally favored to keep the Senate.

The party polls better than expected in several states, while Republican candidates fail to connect with voters. Arizona and Wisconsin polls illustrate. Four years after Trump won both states, Biden won them by a single point in 2020. If 2022 is a typical midterm backlash against the president's party, Republicans should do well in these states.

Sen. Mark Kelly in Arizona and Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin lead all surveys. Fox poll: Kelly leads Blake Masters by 8 points in Arizona. In Wisconsin, Barnes led Republican Sen. Ron Johnson by 7 points in a Marquette poll and 4 points in a Fox poll.

In all polls, Biden's net favorability rating was negative (favorable minus unfavorable). In both states, Democrats led because Republican candidates lagged. Masters' net favorability rating was -4, while Johnson's was -6 and -9. Both Democratic candidates had positive net favorability scores.

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Democratic politicians

Democratic politicians are popular in other purple states, while Biden and GOP Senate candidates are disliked. The same is true in Georgia and Pennsylvania, which Trump won in 2016 and Biden in 2020. In late July, Fox surveys from Georgia and Pennsylvania, Sen. Raphael Warnock and Lt. Gov. John Fetterman led Herschel Walker and Mehmet Oz by 4 and 11 points, respectively.

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Unpopular GOP candidates

Unpopular GOP candidates were to blame. Walker's net favorability was -5, and Oz's was -20; The Democratic nominees' high ratings offset Biden's low net favorability ratings in both states. Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin have the most contested Senate elections this year. If Democrats win all four, Republicans need an upset in a state they're not anticipated to win to retake the Senate.

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Republicans are facing unforeseen challenges.

If anything, it seems Republicans are facing unforeseen challenges. A McConnell-linked super PAC just reserved $28 million in Ohio advertising, and a state Trump won by 8 points in 2020. Surprisingly close polls. Now, the Democrats polling lead could fade. Biden may be a drag for Senate Democratic candidates by Election Day.

Historically, November worsens for the White House party. Recently, Senate Republicans have outperformed polling. Republican Senate candidates beat final polls by 3 to 5 points in 2014, 2016, and 2020. (Neither side's final polling in 2018 was better than average.) Even if Democrats lead in the polls till Election Day, Republicans could win the Senate.

If Republican candidates remain unpopular, it shouldn't be shocking if their Democratic opponents maintain their leads, notwithstanding Biden's unpopularity. Even though Barack Obama was unpopular, Republicans squandered their chance to take control of the Senate with inferior candidates.

The few voters who despised Trump and the Democrat Senate candidate but liked the Republican Senate candidate nearly invariably voted for the Republican. 2022 Democrats would embrace this trend.

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A teenage uprising threatens Facebook.

Teenagers in the United States who have not yet reached the voting age of 18 are part of the population that will not participate in the midterm elections this year.

They do, however, represent a pool of people who have the potential to become voters in the future, and both political parties will find it vital to reach out to them.

Facebook does not appear to be the most effective platform for political parties to communicate with today's youth and spread their messages. This is the conclusion reached by recent research conducted by the Pew Research Center, which I mentioned in passing in my previous column.

It is a surprise to this generation of millennials that Facebook has seen a steep decline in its popularity among adolescents. Only 32 percent of people between the ages of 13 and 17 use Facebook, according to research conducted by Pew.

Facebook has a significant difficulty because it does not appear to be sufficiently addictive. The percentage of teenagers who report checking Facebook more than once each day is under 10%. This number is down from 71% in a poll taken in 2014-2015.

This is rather obscure compared to the most popular social media platforms, such as Snapchat, Instagram (owned by Facebook), TikTok, and YouTube. The percentage of users who visited multiple websites or apps daily ranged from 37% for Instagram to 60% for YouTube.

These websites and mobile apps are well-known for facilitating the rapid browsing of many still images and video clips.

Despite having many of these traits, Facebook can also have a significant amount of writing on it. It should be no surprise that the most addicting websites are the most popular social media websites and apps.

Teens in this country report that they use YouTube at least occasionally, with 95% of them making that claim. The second-place finisher is TikTok, with 67%. The third and fourth places go to Snapchat and Instagram, respectively.

The percentage of teens using Snapchat has increased from 41 to 59 percent from 2014-2015, while the percentage of teenagers using Instagram has increased from 52 to 62 percent.

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70 percent of adults use Facebook

Almost 70 percent of adults in the United States still use Facebook as positive news for the company. However, there are some concerning tendencies.

In the United States, the volume of people searching for Facebook on Google is roughly one-fifth as high as it was approximately a decade ago and one-half as high as four years ago.

The kid who was once everyone's favorite on the street can now be considered elderly and uncool like many.

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Remember that today is National Senior Citizens Day if you run into older adults.

On Sunday, we honor the young at heart among our nation's senior citizens. Those younger than 65, take heart: you, too, will, God willing, live to a ripe old age. Indeed, the percentage of Americans 65 and older is far more than a generation ago.

Since 1960, when they made up fewer than 10% of the population, they have grown to 17% in just one year. And as a collective, we're only going to become older.

The US Census Bureau estimates that by 2060, the senior population will account for 23% of the total. By 2034, their numbers are predicted to surpass those of children.

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